Central Luzon’s inflation rate for the bottom 30 percent income households decelerated to 4.2 percent in August 2024 from 6.1 percent in July 2024. This was a 1.9 percentage point lower than July 2024 and 3.9 percentage points lower than August 2023 inflation rate. (Figure 1)
Across regions, Central Luzon and SOCCSKSARGEN ranked fifth with the lowest inflation rate for bottom 30 percent income households in August 2024 at 4.2 percent. Davao Region recorded the highest inflation rate at 6.3 percent, followed by Western Visayas and MIMAROPA at 5.9 percent and 5.7 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, Ilocos Region registered the lowest inflation rate at 2.6 percent. (Figure 2)
Furthermore, the headline inflation for bottom 30 percent income households in the Philippines decelerated from 5.8 percent in July 2024 to 4.7 percent in August 2024.
Figure 2 shows the annual inflation rates of the different regions in the Philippines in August 2024.
The deceleration in inflation rate for bottom 30 percent income households in Central Luzon could be primarily attributed to the slower increments in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages at 3.4 percent in August 2024 from 7.5 percent in July 2024, and restaurants and accommodation services at 4.4 percent in August 2024 from 4.9 percent in July 2024.
Moreover, slower annual increments were also recorded in the following indices:
• alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 3.1 percent from 3.4 percent;
• clothing and footwear, 3.2 percent from 3.6 percent;
• health, 1.8 percent from 2.4 percent;
• recreation, sports and culture, 5.9 percent from 6.2 percent; and
• education services, 6.7 percent from 10.4 percent.
On the other hand, equal annual increments were recorded in the following indices:
• furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, 2.5 percent;
• information and communication, 0.3 percent;
• financial services, -0.1 percent; and
• personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services, 3.9 percent.
Notably, the index of housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels recorded a faster increment at 10.2 percent inflation in August 2024 from 7.6 percent in July 2024.
Meanwhile, faster deceleration was recorded in transport at -0.1 percent in August 2024 from 3.4 percent in July 2024. (Table 1)
The annual growth rate in the regional food index decelerated to 3.6 percent in August 2024 from 8.0 percent in July 2024.
The deceleration in the regional food index for bottom 30 percent income households in Central Luzon could be primarily attributed to the slower increments in the indices of cereals and cereal products at 10.3 percent in August 2024 from 18.1 percent in July 2024, meat and other part of slaughtered land animals at 4.0 percent in August 2024 from 6.0 percent in July 2024, and ready-made food and other food products n.e.c. at 5.5 percent in August 2024 from 5.9 percent in July 2024.
Moreover, faster deceleration were recorded in the food indices of fish and other seafood (-3.8% from -1.1%), vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses (-4.6% from 8.3%), and sugar, confectionery and desserts (-2.3% from -2.2%).
On the other hand, faster annual increments were recorded in the following:
• milk and other dairy products and eggs, 3.3 percent from -0.1 percent; and
• fruits and nuts, 8.3 percent from 7.6 percent;
Meanwhile, slower deceleration was recorded in the index of oils and fats at -4.1 percent from -5.8 percent. (Table 2)
Relative to July 2024 inflation rates, all provinces and the cities of Olongapo and Angeles, exhibited lower inflation rates in August 2024. Nueva Ecija registered the largest decrease in inflation with a difference of 3.2 percentage points.
Among the provinces and Highly Urbanized Cities (HUCs) in the region, Tarlac and City of Olongapo registered the highest inflation rate for bottom 30 percent income households at 5.1 percent, followed by Nueva Ecija and City of Angeles both at 4.7 percent. Meanwhile, Aurora had the lowest inflation rate for the bottom 30 percent income households at 2.2 percent. (Figure 3)
ARLENE M. DIVINO
Regional Director
PSA RSSO 03
Technical Notes
This Special Release presents the results of the Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities and Services for the Generation of Consumer Price Index (CPI) conducted in August 2024.
CPI
The CPI is an indicator of the change in the average retail prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households for their day-to-day consumption relative to a base year.
Uses of the CPI
As an indicator, the CPI is most widely used in the calculation of the inflation rate and purchasing power of the peso. It is a major statistical series used for economic analysis and as monitoring indicator of government economic policy.
The CPI is also used as a deflator to express value series in real terms, which is, measuring the change in actual volume of transaction by removing the effects of price changes. Another major importance of the CPI is its use as basis to adjust wages in labor management contracts as well as pensions and retirement benefits. The CPI also serves as inputs in wage adjustments through the collective bargaining agreements.
Components of the CPI
a. Base Period
This is a reference date or simply a convenient benchmark to which a continuous series of index numbers can be related. Since the CPI measures the average changes in the retail prices of a fixed basket of goods, it is necessary to compare the movement in previous years back to a reference date at which the index is taken as equal to 100.
The present series of CPI is rebased from base year 2012 to base year 2018.
b. Market Basket
Market basket refers to a sample of goods and services commonly purchased by the households.
The market basket for the CPI for All Income Households is updated using the results of the 2021 Survey of Key Informants (SKI). The survey, which was undertaken in March 2021, was conducted nationwide to store managers, sellers, or proprietors, to obtain information on the most commonly purchased goods and availed of services by the households.
The commodities included in the 2018-based CPI market basket are the modal commodities which were considered as the most commonly purchased/availed of commodities by the households.
The commodities in the 2018-based CPI market basket are grouped/classified according to the 2020 Philippine Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose (PCOICOP) which is based on the United Nations COICOP. Meanwhile, the commodities in the 2012-based CPI market basket used the 2009 PCOICOP version of classification of commodities.
Table A below presents the comparison of the commodity classification based on 2009 and 2020 PCOICOP which are adopted in the 2012-based and 2018-based CPI market baskets, respectively.
c. Weighting System
The weights for the 2018-based CPI were derived from the expenditure data of the 2018 Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES). The weight for each commodity/group of commodities is the proportion of the expenditure of the expenditure of commodity/group of commodities to the total national expenditure. The sum of the weights of the commodity groups at the national level is equal to 100.
d. Geographic Coverage
CPI values are computed at the national, regional, and provincial levels, for selected cities. A separate CPI for NCR is also computed.
Inflation Rate
The inflation rate (IR) is the annual or monthly rate of change of the CPI in percent. It is interpreted in terms of declining purchasing power of money.